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(en) Italy, FAI, Umanita Nova #20-26 - International Instability. Iran, Israel, and the Crisis of the American Order (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]
Date
Mon, 3 Aug 2026 07:19:18 +0300
The latest war engulfing the Middle East risks being portrayed as a
local clash between rival states. In reality, what is happening can only
be understood within the context of the crisis of the international
order, constructed by the United States, and the difficult transition to
a new global balance. --- For over forty years, US dominance has been
based on a combination of military superiority, financial centrality,
and control of global trade flows. Today, this model is showing clear
signs of crisis. The rise of China and other Asian economies calls into
question the United States' ability to maintain the centrality of the
dollar and its financial market as the obligatory reference point of the
global economy.
In this context, control of energy resources takes on a meaning that
goes far beyond simple supply. The United States no longer needs Middle
Eastern oil as it once did, but it continues to have an interest in
controlling the energy flows on which its competitors and allies depend.
The Venezuelan affair, the Ukrainian conflict, and the tension with Iran
can be interpreted as different episodes in a global competition for
control of energy infrastructure and trade routes.
Iran occupies a crucial position. The Strait of Hormuz is one of the
main transit points for global oil trade. For this reason, the
confrontation with Tehran takes on a significance that far transcends
the regional dimension. Israel, a key US ally in the Eastern
Mediterranean, is also pursuing its own strategic agenda aimed at
consolidating its regional hegemony, ethnically cleansing Palestinian
territories, and eliminating its main competitors in the area.
However, the project faces significant obstacles. The Iranian state
apparatus has demonstrated a resilience beyond the expectations of many
observers, and the threat of a restriction of traffic in the Strait of
Hormuz would affect not only Asian economies but also numerous US allies.
The situation, however, must be seen within the context of an even more
profound transformation. As Giovanni Arrighi observed in "Adam Smith in
Beijing," China's rise challenges not only the distribution of global
wealth but also the idea, entrenched in Western ruling classes, that the
center of the world economy must necessarily coincide with the West.
Behind America's resistance to the relative decline of its hegemony lie
not only economic and strategic interests, but also a long tradition of
cultural, political, and historically colonial superiority.
The current crisis is also intertwined with the ecological crisis and
the material limits of growth. The integration of billions of people
into the global market has generated a growing demand for energy, raw
materials, and consumption. China invests heavily in renewable energy
but continues to have enormous energy needs; the United States is
focusing on digital infrastructure and data centers that require
increasing quantities of energy and water. Competition for resources is
destined to intensify.
In this scenario, an increasingly evident contradiction between capital
and territory emerges. Global financial capital continues to use the
United States as a privileged platform, but this no longer necessarily
aligns with the long-term interests of American society. We are thus
witnessing a progressive decoupling between the logic of financial
accumulation and that of state power.
The war against Iran therefore appears not as a sign of the unchallenged
strength of the American empire, but rather as a manifestation of its
difficulties. The old power is no longer able to govern the system as it
once was, while no new power yet possesses the capacity to build a
stable order. The result is growing international instability.
It is clear to us that there are no fronts to support in this contest.
There is nothing to be gained by choosing between US imperialism and
that of the emerging powers, between Israeli nationalism and Iranian
authoritarianism. Those who pay the price for this competition are
always the people involved.
The instability sweeping the Eastern Mediterranean and Western Asia
isn't born from the madness of a few leaders: it stems from the crisis
of a world order no longer capable of guaranteeing the mechanisms of
accumulation that have sustained it for decades. In this scenario, there
are no just wars, nor progressive imperialisms. There are populations
dragged into conflicts they didn't choose, and ruling classes seeking to
unload the cost of their own crisis onto war. This is why libertarian
internationalism isn't about choosing which power should prevail, but
about building universal opposition to war, to the states, and to the
economic system that produces it.
Stefano Capello
https://umanitanova.org/instabilita-internazionale-iran-israele-e-la-crisi-dellordine-americano/
_________________________________________
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