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(en) Italy, UCADI, #198 - Ukrainian Diaspora and the European Right (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

Date Fri, 8 Aug 2025 08:29:39 +0300


Among the effects of the war in Ukraine, the diaspora of its population is undoubtedly the most underestimated and least analyzed in relation to the effects it has produced and will produce over time. Even before the outbreak of the war, Ukraine was a land of emigration to the West, as was happening to an even greater extent from all Eastern European countries. Those who left the country, migrating to the Mediterranean countries where welfare structures for the elderly are more lacking, were mainly women, while the male workforce was largely made up of seasonal migration almost across the border with Germany. This migration was mainly employed in agriculture in the East German states.
The war caused a massive exodus, more than a quarter of the country's entire population, which in a very short period of time expelled more than 2 million people towards Russia and around 10 million Ukrainians towards the West.
To manage this huge mass of population, EU countries have resorted to the application of Directive 2001/55/EC of the Council of Europe, issued after the Balkan wars, which establishes minimum standards for the granting of temporary protection. This is a measure of the EU Council, which grants exceptional temporary protection to displaced persons or victims of natural disasters, which in this case applies to Ukrainian citizens residing in Ukraine before 24 February 2022, the date of the beginning of the Russian invasion. This protection includes rights such as a residence permit, access to the labor market and housing, medical care and access to education for minors. The duration of this protection has been extended several times, initially for one year, then for a further year, currently until 4 March 2026. Residence permits for temporary protection can be renewed and converted into permits for work reasons.

The distribution of refugees

As was obvious, in a first phase the exodus of the Ukrainian population poured into the neighboring countries, so much so that both Romania and Poland, like Moldova, can be considered both transit countries and countries of second settlement, also due to their proximity to the border with the mother country. Many Ukrainians chose to settle in these countries to continue to have relations with the country of origin and develop trade and economic activities, shelter from war events. However, the majority of Ukrainians sought and found refuge well beyond the border countries, finding hospitality above all in Germany, while Poland can be considered both a transit country and a country of new significant settlement.
To better understand the characteristics and identity of the phenomenon, it is good to examine some data relating to the different countries, underlining the characteristics and nature of the provisions adopted in favor of refugees, also in relation to the possibilities of finding work and building a new stability. In fact, one of the characteristics of the exodus, also due to the persistent duration of the conflict, is that the new settlement increasingly takes on a permanent and permanent character.
Approximately 5.4 million Ukrainians have entered Romania since the beginning of the war, of whom over 86 thousand have remained in the country as refugees, mainly women and children. Others have continued their journey to other EU countries, such as Germany, France and Italy, Spain or going overseas, where they have benefited from temporary protection.
Poland has welcomed a large number of Ukrainian refugees, an estimated 1.5 million, using EU funding, but the assistance program has gone much further thanks to allocations from the Polish state, so in reality the real number of the hosted population is unknown.
In the United Kingdom, Ukrainian refugees have been welcomed through the "Ukraine Family Scheme" and other support programs. The United Kingdom has also offered rent allowances and financial support to those who have hosted refugees.
There are currently over 254,000 Ukrainian refugees in the UK, and the government has extended their ability to stay for another 18 months. There is also a program that helps those who decide to host a family fleeing war; lately the demand has significantly exceeded the supply. It is important to note that the hospitality of Ukrainians occurs in derogation and in contrast to the rejections adopted against refugees from every other country in the world.
In Italy, over 175,000 Ukrainian refugees, mainly women and minors, have been welcomed with temporary protection status. Many of them, around 86%, plan to stay in the medium or long term.
Integration is supported by projects such as PUOI, which offer orientation courses, job placements and internships. However, it is estimated that the number of Ukrainians present in Italy is at least double, since those who were previously present in Italy for work reasons in more or less official forms and who saw their position regularized after the outbreak of the war must be added to the refugees.
In Spain, there are over 170,000 Ukrainian refugees who are beneficiaries of temporary protection. Integration, however, is not easy: over half do not have an address, and the percentage of Ukrainians who have found work is 15%, much lower than the European average of 40%. Spain has also regularized Ukrainians who reside without documents, offering them temporary protection. Temporary protection permits can be renewed until March 2026 and converted into work permits. There are 236,000 who have had their residence permits in the country extended because they were already present in Spain before the war.
A separate discussion must be made for Germany, where approximately 1.2 million Ukrainian refugees currently live, 63% of whom are women. Around 360,000 are children, who cannot work. Precisely because of their growing number, refugees will no longer receive the Bürgergeld (social benefit aimed at people able to work, who are in conditions of poverty, an instrument therefore in some ways comparable to the citizen's income), normally reserved for permanent residents in Germany. From the new Government they will instead receive the Asylleistungen (asylum subsidy) which guarantees less money. Based on the Bürgergeld, singles received 563 euros per month, while asylum seekers are entitled to 122 euros less and receive 441 euros, via a payment card. Refugees receive less money if they share accommodation, even if the accommodation costs are still covered. The Bürgergeld is financed by taxes from the federal government, while asylum support comes from the Länder and the Municipalities. This change in legislation came about under the new government precisely because of the controversy that arose in relation to the policy of support for refugees that has sparked so many protests among voters, so much so that it is one of the main reasons behind the Ampel coalition's decision to grant refugees from Ukraine residency status, because in this way refugees can receive work permits more quickly and weigh less on the coffers of the state and the Länder.
However, it is currently unclear whether the classification of Ukrainians as asylum seekers will go further and have an impact on their right to work in Germany. According to the regulatory framework for asylum seekers, refugees cannot work for the first three months and, after that, they face further restrictions. The Ukrainian presence fuels consensus in Germany on the so-called re-immigration policy that provides for the rejection of migrants in their countries of origin.
On the other hand, only 13,000 Ukrainian refugees have applied for international protection in France. The same order of magnitude is supported by much smaller countries such as the Netherlands, Denmark, the Baltic countries, Portugal: the exodus towards Canada, the United States and Australia is also of some consistency.

Temporary protection and the principle of equality

The institution of temporary protection, born from the bad conscience of the West, aware of having produced with its devastating interventions in the life of peoples unresolved problems of coexistence - it is no coincidence that the EU directive was issued following the Balkan crises - has not failed to raise serious problems in relation to the violation of the principle of equality, introducing disparities in treatment within the populations of European countries, especially since it has intersected and interacted with the parallel phenomenon of migration towards the continent of populations from all parts of the world.
Support measures for populations in particular conditions of hardship appear understandable and bearable where there are support institutions for the entire population in favor of that most disadvantaged part that feels the economic and social problems with greater discomfort, but they can be extremely discriminatory where
the support is provided in a situation in which a most disadvantaged part of the native population remains without any form of support.
It so happens that in Italy the application of the European Community directive in favor of Ukrainian refugees coincided with the almost contemporary and contemporary suppression of the citizen's income. This gives rise to an understandable reaction of social envy for a category of people who appear to be particularly and unjustifiably protected, especially if one considers that at the same time policies of rejection are being adopted against clandestine and irregular emigration of people who reach the country, following what is known as the Balkan route, coming from the Middle East and the South of the world, or among those who arrive in Italy by crossing the sea.
In other words, the Ukrainian diaspora fuels and further complicates the migration problem, not only in Italy but with particular relevance in Romania and Germany, where it has contributed to the shift of the electorate to the right, in favor of those parties that oppose the war in Ukraine, its financing and therefore promise to put an end to the provision of resources to this segment of the population.
It is thought-provoking that European governments are increasingly adopting policies to contain emigration from the global south, invoking cultural diversity and the skin color of migrants as an element of differentiation, while leaving the doors open to the deployment of solidarity and acceptance towards Ukrainian populations. The suspicion arises that migration from Ukraine is viewed more favorably, since it is a population coming from another European country, of a culture and religion that is supposedly similar and, above all, characterized by a skin pigmentation that allows for easier integration and a lack of immediate recognition in terms of different origins. The profound racism that characterizes European society and also permeates legislation and translates into different standards that in fact create the legal bases for discrimination is essentially evident in political and collective behavior. The war in Ukraine thus becomes one of the ways in which European states are replenishing their populations, recruiting those portions of citizens who are missing due to the demographic decline of European states, afflicted by an almost exponential decline in the birth rate, through the introduction of a racial drift. The exodus induced by the war has caused a part of the Ukrainian people to take a path of no return that leads to the dilution of their identity.
However, this choice is raising growing resistance, so much so that the news of these days is that the EU has decided not to extend the customs exemption on the import of Ukrainian agricultural products, which in fact entails the introduction of customs duties starting from June 6: this was announced by the representative of the European Commission for Agriculture Balazs Uvari.

The suicidal politics of the left-wing parties and the war in Ukraine

The parties of the reformist left. uncritically assuming the defense of Ukraine as an attacked country, they have been victims of a hasty and superficial analysis of the causes of the conflict that instead should be sought in the need to maintain a geostrategic balance between the different areas of influence but also keeping in mind the founding values on which the European Union itself was built.
Looking deeper into this aspect of the problem, we note that one of the key principles of the togetherness of the European peoples who have joined the Union is the acceptance of the principle of self-determination of the peoples who have agreed to be part of it. This principle has universal value and has been invoked when the Union itself has deemed it suitable and consistent with its own interests, that is, in the case of the Balkan crisis and the dissolution of the former Yugoslavia, recognizing the right to self-determination of the Balkan peoples and their request to recognize their future in the common destiny of the European peoples. However, the request for self-determination of the eastern provinces of Ukraine, of Donbass in particular, has not received the same attention; indeed, their aspiration to self-determination and autonomy was considered a serious violation of law and an illegitimate uprising against the central State and its integrity. It is worth remembering that the European Union did not hesitate to intervene in the Balkan crisis by promoting the process of self-determination of the peoples of the Balkans, while in this case it did the opposite. Similarly, rather than supporting the centralist policies of the Ukrainian nationalist government, the parties of the left should have, consistently with their political positions, supported the principle of self-determination of peoples, recognizing that similar conflicts are resolved with the recognition of the autonomy of the territories. We cannot ask peoples to adopt double standards and to recognize the principle of autonomy in response to the requests of the Balkan populations, while denying it to the populations that inhabit the territories east of the Dnipro and in Crimea.

The virtuous case of Trentino Alto Adige

Our country has also had to face the problem of a part of the national territory in which separatist tendencies predominated, fueled by a difference in language and traditions. We are referring to Trentino Alto Adige, but also to the Aosta Valley, regions for which the Italian legal system, compatible with the European one, has provided and provides for broad autonomies, which allow these communities to live in harmony within the national State and within a broader community of States. A similar solution could have been found for the eastern provinces of Ukraine.
Once the problem of the autonomy of the territories and populations was correctly set, the other complex issues that the conflict brings with it should and could have been addressed from a different perspective, taking into account the interests of the parties in conflict, among other things avoiding the successful completion of operations of scavenging by subjects, third parties such as the United States and Great Britain, who had every interest in destabilizing the relationship of exchange and collaboration between manufacturing and energy on which the partnership between European industry and the Russian economy was based. It should also be remembered that a non-marginal aspect of the Ukrainian crisis is closely connected to the conflict entirely internal to Orthodoxy that opposes the Patriarchate of Constantinople to the Patriarchate of Moscow, which compete for hegemony over the Orthodox ecumene. This conflict that led to the establishment of a schismatic Orthodox Church in Ukraine and to religious persecution appears, if possible, to be of greater complexity in identifying possible solutions due to the geopolitical implications that it brings with it. The inability to grasp the set of problems connected to the crisis depends on the lack of ideal and scientific guidelines in the left-wing parties and on the abandonment of historical materialist analysis capable of providing a rational and coherent reading of reality taking into account the class interest and the struggle of proletarian internationalism, in the interest of the people, social justice and equality. Using the categories of the class struggle would have avoided falling into the trap designed by the international right, avoiding providing the reasons to allow a shift to the right of the electorate of which we all pay the consequences.

Gianni Cimbalo

https://www.ucadi.org/2025/06/22/diaspora-ucraina-e-destra-europea/
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