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(en) Italy, UCAD'I #184 - The crisis of the "Islamic plate" (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

Date Thu, 23 May 2024 07:36:35 +0300


To try to understand what is happening in the Gaza Strip, in the West Bank and Israel, it is necessary to place the chronicle of events within the global strategic plan aimed at redefining the geostrategic and economic balances of a multipolar, plate world . The ongoing clash concerns the "Islamic plate" that goes from Afghanistan to the shores of the Mediterranean and has offshoots that extend along the Mediterranean as far as Morocco and eastwards towards the former Soviet Turkic-speaking Asian republics. This area is characterized by high political heterogeneity and great instability, determined by the great division that characterizes the Islamic world, marked not only by the division between Shiites and Sunnis, but also by the division into religious and political families of peoples who inhabit the various state entities present on this vast territory. The area is affected by the growing ambitions of Turkey which wants to rebuild the imperial dream that was the Ottoman Empire, an area that goes from Africa to the Islamophobic former Soviet Republics of Central Asia; Saudi Arabia, which proclaims itself as the leader of the Sunni component of Islam, strengthened by the fact that it safeguards two of the sacred places of Islam. Medina and Mecca; Tehran which hosts the Islamic Republic of Shiite inspiration and proclaims itself the capital of Shiism and, at the extreme eastern edge, Pakistan, a nuclear power, which in turn plays a role in the area of the Indian sub-continent, while distant Indonesia, the more populous than the Islamic countries, it lies on another area, the Indo-Pacific plate.
An effort to unite this very composite area or at least the most homogeneous and relevant part of it had been completed within the Bricks thanks to the initiative and merit of Chinese foreign policy which had promoted reconciliation between Saudi Arabia and Iran, which resulted in the agreement to de-escalation the relations of the two countries, signed on 10 March by Iran and Saudi Arabia in Beijing with Chinese mediation which represented a highly relevant evolution of relations between states in the context of a region, that of the Gulf Perch.[1]
In this context, different objectives were pursued by the Abraham Accords,[2]created through the initiative of the Trump administration, but remained unimplemented due to the end of his mandate. The agreement promoted by China had been possible thanks to the reduced interest in the initiative on the part of the Biden administration which had left the field open to Chinese diplomacy, but above all it had been facilitated by the withdrawal of the United States from Afghanistan which seemed to leave room for Chinese and Russian diplomacy to better operate in the area with projections towards the Islamic world. Thus, taking advantage of the good relations between Russia and Iran, using the lines of communication between the members of OPEC (which includes Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran) - Chinese diplomacy was able to achieve a result that surprised the various international interlocutors .
In view of the expiration of his presidential mandate, Biden, burdened by war, Ukraine and in need of achieving results in foreign policy to better gain credibility before the electorate, restarted the initiative of the Abraham Protocols which should have been signed by the end of 2023.

The "New way of cotton"

To integrate this initiative, Biden reformulated the project, renaming it the "New Cotton Road" which was supposed to constitute the alternative to the "Silk Road." This project led to the signing of a memorandum signed in New Delhi on the sidelines of the G20 work, it consists of the creation of an economic corridor between India, the Middle East and Europe, it involves the creation of a network of railways, ports and energy connections. The countries involved are the United States, India, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Germany, France, Italy and the European Union. The project should develop along two lines, railway and maritime, which will connect India to the Gulf countries,
through a network of railways and ports aimed at improving trade and energy flows from South Asia to the Persian Gulf and with the aim of reach Europe, passing through Jordan and Israel, having the port of Haifa as a terminal on the Mediterranean.[3]
The intentions of the new corridor will be to reconfigure trade between the countries of Europe, the Persian Gulf and South Asia, significantly reducing the time needed to transport goods between these nations and will allow us to counter China in trade relations with Europe.
The project provides resources of 600 billion dollars to support low- and middle-income countries in building sustainable infrastructure and the initiative is aligned with the Global Gateway, launched by the European Commission in 2021 to mobilize financing of up to 300 billion euros for infrastructure projects in developing countries
. Both Saudi Arabia, the world's top oil exporter, and the United Arab Emirates, the financial center of the Middle East, have for years sought to protect themselves from any disruption to trade and energy routes that now pass exclusively through the Suez Canal.
Objectively, the signing of this new agreement allows a new split in the Islamic plate, and obliges some countries to recognize Israel as an interlocutor, definitively liquidating the Palestinian question, leaving that while the population of Gaza was wasting away under the dictatorship of Hamas in a camp of open-air concentration, Israel could have continued undisturbed to practice its policy of apartheid in Jordan, continuing with the progressive but constant liquidation of its population, expropriated of all rights and goods.
In the new context of international relations, Hamas's insurrectionary plan found space, long prepared with the quiescence of the Netanyahu government, which by recognizing the terrorist organization as the interlocutor and manager of the strip, had given the organization the opportunity to prepare to lead the attack that in
effects then took place on 7 October, giving rise to the massacre of the citizens of the Jewish State who had the sole fault of finding themselves living near the strip and who were part of the population of the country most dedicated to a possible dialogue with the Islamic world , abducting more than 200 people, including women, old people and children, practicing all kinds of violence against them.

The genocide of the inhabitants of Gaza

For six months the army of the Jewish State, led by the butcher Netanyahu, has been massacring the population of the strip, destroying everything it finds, having already caused 34,000 deaths, thousands of injured and disabled people, unspeakable suffering, hunger, malnutrition and misery, while he is not seen at the end of the slaughter.
This horror that outrages the world has alienated the Jewish State from the sympathy of public opinion in the West, has led its supporters and those who have a guilty conscience due to their anti-Semitic past and the persecution of Judaism to demonstrate their solidarity, making leverage on the bad conscience for what was the Shoah and the holocaust of the Jewish people by Nazism.
What we pretend not to understand is that solidarity towards the Palestinian population is not a manifestation of anti-Semitism, but of opposition to Zionism, a nationalist political doctrine which supports the need for the existence of a Jewish state, custodian of the messianic destiny of the people Jewish, favored by the one God, who is destined to prevail over other peoples thanks to the pact that binds him to the one God and to whom Palestine has been given exclusively, from the banks of the Jordan to the sea, without other peoples being able to live there at the same time .
After six months in which a torrent of destruction and fire poured into Gaza, with the growth of the ruins, the horror of the suffering, the deaths, the amputated limbs, the hunger, the desperation and the terror . The solidarity of the world ended up converging on the population of the strip, forced to live in inhuman conditions, in an
increasingly smaller portion of territory, while the neighboring states refused to welcome them for fear of retracing past experiences, importing refugees destined to remain eternally such and to constitute an active destabilizing political component for the authoritarian regimes that govern them. At the same time, the repression of the native population of the West Bank is growing, where an increasingly harsh and radical apartheid is in force and the murders and attacks of the settlers, their violence, their abuse of power towards the native population, are increasing every day.

The Iranian intervention

While the Israeli army is preparing to carry out the final assault on the Palestinian enclave in which the population of Gaza is currently crammed, the Jewish State has expanded its sphere of action and decided, proceeding with the targeted killings in which it is expert, to destroy with a missile attack an Iranian diplomatic headquarters in Syria to eliminate members of the Iranian Pasdaran corps (16 people), responsible for maintaining connections with the Shiite political-military formations (Hamas, Houthis, Hezbollah, Iraqi Hezbollah Kataib) which constitute the anti-Zionist front that supports the Palestinian struggle. This is a consolidated practice adopted by the Jewish State, but also adopted by the United States which reserves the right to "punish", with targeted killings and regardless of where they are, opponents of their policy who they consider to be part of terrorist groups and formations .
However, this time the Islamic Republic, in order not to lose face in front of the other Arab states and the same resistance groups against the Jewish state, decided to react through a calibrated response. 72 hours in advance, the chancelleries in all the states involved in the conflict or otherwise interested were informed that the Islamic Republic would attack the territory of the State of Israel with a launch of drones and missiles, thus providing the attacked party with the possibility of organizing your own defense. On the night of April 14, around 300 devices of various kinds were launched towards military targets located in Israeli territory and intercepted by US, British and French planes which took off from fleets sailing in the Red Sea and from Western bases in the area to counter the attacks. Houthi missile launches. In destroying the bombs, an important role was played by the Jordanian air force, an Arab country, but linked to Great Britain, which plays a spearhead role in the group of states which at the time were ready to sign the Abraham Accords, States that belong to a secret alliance that has a system of mutual protection and sighting to combat the Islamic Republic and which certainly includes Saudi Arabia and part of the Gulf Emirates. The activity and coordination of the Islamic States willing to sign the Abraham Accords and interested in the "New Cotton Road" project was thus restored, but the taboo of deterrence and the
Israeli defensive doctrine was definitively broken, even if revitalized by a tenuous further response.
Although at the end of the action, which we could define as demonstrative, the Islamic Republic declared that it considered the dispute with Israel closed, regarding the bombing of its diplomatic representation, the Jewish State cannot bear that events have demonstrated that its territory is reachable from his enemies.
The attack demonstrates that the Jewish State's strategy of preventive dissuasion towards its enemies is now overcome by the growing offensive capabilities of its enemies and therefore further retaliatory action, although not recommended by the United States and other Western partners. For the time being, the most coveted objective remains to be achieved: the destruction of the uranium enrichment plants developed by the Iranian government to equip itself with nuclear weapons.
At the same time, Israel does not renounce the annihilation of the population of Gaza, with the aim of making the strip colonizable with the prospect of claiming full and exclusive right to exploit the immense oil and gas deposits discovered off the coast which could, if it were the cancellation of the Palestinian entity in Gaza, more easily be divided exclusively between Israelis and Egyptians, eliminating the third wheel constituted by the population living on the coast.

The kingdom of evil

If these are the facts in summary, some considerations are necessary, especially in the face of the fact that the local press and Western politicians present, as usual, what is happening as a clash between good and evil and continue to repeat that the only democracy in the Middle East is Israel and that it must be defended against the Muslim, illiberal states that surround it, dominated by an obscurantist theocracy like the Iranian one which denies all freedom. For this reason they bless the war and try to accredit the idea that only an external defeat can bring freedom and
democracy back to many, if not all of these states. This statement constitutes a clear falsehood and, to demonstrate it, it is enough to reflect on some of the characteristics of the States involved.
Israel is formally a Western democratic state, where however the same man has reigned unchallenged for 14 years, with various expedients, not least war and who, although the subject of a cluster of criminal measures, remains unchallenged in power, after having attempted to the democratic and constitutional organization of the State and after having committed crimes on which the courts have not had the opportunity to rule, thanks to the undisputed possession of political power. Nor does it serve to mitigate his responsibilities by pointing out that Netanyahu does not enjoy the support of a large part of the population, nor is it enough to maintain that Israeli society is so democratic and solid as to deserve the respect of the international community, if we consider that he occupies the West Bank and that on this territory exercises apartheid against the indigenous population, persecuting them and suppressing their rights.
Jordan is a country governed by the Hashemite monarchy, formally independent but vassal of the United Kingdom, which in fact works in concert with Israel to control the Palestinian population which constitutes a large part of the country's inhabitants and is directly involved in the New Cotton Road. Neighboring Iraq is a country devastated by the war against Saddam Hussein led by the United States, inventing the existence of non-existent chemical weapons to justify the aggression and today transformed into a balkanized country for religious groups. when it was the most developed, the most westernized, the most secular of the Arab countries. In Lebanon, a country in which a perennial guerrilla war is underway with the Jewish state and against which numerous attacks by the latter have been recorded, is today a divided, bankrupt country in the hands of various political-mafia and power groups religious. What can we say about Egypt whose government is governed by a dictator whose methods the Italians had the opportunity to appreciate during the Regeni case!
No solidarity can be shown on our part to the government of Iran which represents the sum of what we anarchist communists, secularists and enemies of religious obscurantism, abhor. In the country - as is known - a civil and gender war is underway which sees women oppressed, rebelling against the chauvinism and paternalism of the regime, which
sees trade union freedoms repressed, which sees every civil freedom trampled upon and the economy in hand to the Pasdaran corporation, under the control of the clergy. However, we are convinced that the liberation of the Iranian people can only come from their struggle and cannot depend on external help from forces that say they are fighting the regime in the name of democracy, but in reality are aiming for the country's resources and its oil .
The regime in force in Saudi Arabia and those that characterize the governments of the Gulf Emirates, supporters of values, of ethics, of principles that deny any glimmer of social justice and civil liberties, cause us equally solid revulsion. We are convinced that all societies must be allowed to develop their own path of emancipation and secularization which can only occur as a result of the participation of populations in the confrontation between social classes in the context of a definitive overcoming of colonial legacies and logics and with the choice of our own paths, convinced as we are of the non-superiority of the Western liberal model and democracy.
However, for each of these societies, for each of these peoples, we believe that emancipation can only come from within the various countries themselves and that it cannot be the result of the so-called "export of democracy" which is nothing more than a form of new colonialism and restoration of the dominance of Western countries over this area of the world.

[1]The text of the agreement signed in Beijing provides as an initial objective the reopening of the respective diplomatic offices, closed in 2016, within two months of the signing of the agreement and the implementation of two important multilevel cooperation documents signed between the end of 1990s and early 2000s, during what was one of the periods of greatest dialogue between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
[2]The Abraham Accords, proposed by the Trump administration, reached on August 13, 2020, aimed at the normalization of diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, other Arab states, Israel and the United States, should have been
signed immediately before of October 7th in the version of "Nuova via del cotone".
[3]The signing of the memorandum was announced during the ' Partnership for global infrastructure and investment and India-Middle East-Europe economic corridor ' event to enhance the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (Pgii), created by the G7.

CG

https://www.ucadi.org/2024/04/25/la-crisi-della-placca-islamica/
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