A-Infos (en) ASF-IWA: Burma's revolution and the role of Beijing's imperialism - Lugius (ca, de, fr, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

From the start of the coup, the junta (SAC) faced a series of sanctions 
and diplomatic pressure imposed by the Western superpowers. The military 
junta (SAC), being isolated from the West, was left with no choice but 
to increase its reliance on Russia, China, and India. Furthermore, the 
fragile economy during the post-coup era led to the balance-of-payment 
crisis. SAC turns to the BRICS economic bloc to solve the dollar crisis 
for support and potential membership. SAC implemented a de-dollarisation 
process by allowing and promoting the usage of Yuan and other currencies 
for import-export. The Bonapartists Kremlin-Naypyidaw alliance (alliance 
between Russia and the junta) has also been tighter to escape from being 
isolated. On the one hand, China did not denounce the military coup and 
continues to show its diplomatic support. However, it still maintained 
good relationships with ethnic armed organisations along its border.

Meanwhile, the turmoil situation becomes a sweet spot for criminal 
organisations to run their cyber-scams, drugs, and human trafficking 
businesses. The organised
crimes are committed publicly, mainly in the northern part of Shan 
state, near the China border. Historically, those areas are a haven for 
drug lords and organised crimes since most of those areas are under the 
autonomy of warlords handpicked by the Tatmadaw (Burmese military). The 
organised crime ring is run by the Chinese Mafias as well as the 
state-sponsored militias (pyi-thu sit), the Border Guard Force leaders 
(BGF, separatists of ethnic armed organisations who operate as a 
division under the junta), and the administration officials of the 
Self-administered zones in the Northern Shan state. Those criminal 
syndicates must make their tribunal to respective military commanding 
officers in those areas in return for protection. The activity of those 
organisations has significant impacts on China as the cyber scam 
organisations have been siphoning millions out of them, and many of 
their nationals are being kidnapped and scammed and forced to work for 
the scamming activities. The rising unemployment rate in China and its 
fragile economy became an opportunity for crime syndicates. Beijing also 
expressed it as a national threat to stop further grievances, which has 
the potential to cause instability back home.

In October 2023, "The Three Brotherhood Alliance", the alliance between the
Arakan Army, Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army and Ta'ang National
Liberation Army launched Operation 1027, with Mandalay People's Defense 
Force,
People's Liberation Army, Bamar People's Liberation Army fighting 
alongside them. The alliance manifested not only to topple the military 
regime but also to eradicate cyber scam organisations. The message 
regarding the cyber scam clearly intended that their interests aligned 
with Beijing's. Junta was placed in a very sticky situation, as it can 
be observed that they are not able to tackle the cyber scam issue for 
multiple reasons: its military officers in those regions are corrupted 
by providing custody, and if they handed over the BGF leaders, militia 
leaders, and administration officials, their status-quo in those regions 
will be challenged. The Three Brotherhood Alliance seized this 
opportunity while the junta was hesitant and impotent.

It is crucial for the Three Brotherhood Alliance to show that they have 
common
interests with Beijing because there are scenarios where they need to 
rely on China to be able to launch a full-scale war. The Three 
Brotherhood Alliance and other revolution forces in Northern Burma have 
been using China-made Type-81 assault rifles. If China imposed tighter 
border trade measures, the availability of arms, ammunition, food, and 
medical supplies would be minimal. Compared to the revolution forces of 
Chinland, along the border of India, the supplies are limited since 
India's border force, Assam Rifles has been restricting what goes 
through its borders. It can also be seen that they are still relying on 
bolt action rifles due to limited supplies. Therefore, there are 
differences in the nature of the revolution between China's and India's 
borders.

Despite the nationwide war, both parties left the Chinese state-owned 
projects unharmed. Beijing hedging its bets in both parties also 
protects its China-Myanmar Economic Corridor project. China's 
spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Wang Wenbin, stated, 
"...China will continue its effort in helping to stop the fighting and 
promote talks in northern Myanmar and jointly work for a soft landing of 
the situation in northern Burma. We also hope that parties concerned in 
Myanmar will keep the China-Burma border area peaceful and stable and 
protect the safety and security of Chinese projects and personnel in 
Myanmar." during a regular press conference on December 21, 2023. 
Beijing had brokered ceasefire negotiations between the junta and The 
Three Brotherhood Alliance in Kunming and a ceasefire agreement has been 
made in Northern Shan state. Moreover, on January 1, 2024, the diaspora 
government - the National Unity Government which was formed after the 
coup with elected legislators, activists and some of the ministers from 
the NLD-led quasi-democratic government showed its allegiance to Beijing 
in its statement by declaring its support for the One China policy and 
assuring that China's economic investments will be safeguarded.

As anarchists, we align with the resistance against the fascist regime, 
advocating
for genuine liberation, self-determination, and autonomy for the region. 
We caution against statist organisations cloaked in a 'national 
liberation' agenda, as they may only reconstitute the ruling class 
without achieving true liberation for the oppressed masses. It is 
imperative to recognize the presence of various local defence forces 
(LDFs), rooted in various regions and communities in Burma, bravely 
resisting the fascist regime without reliance on support from 
imperialist powers. To realize a revolution that fully emancipates the 
oppressed working class in the region, fostering cross-border solidarity 
among the working class and embracing internationalism becomes 
paramount. Rather than safeguarding Beijing's economic and geopolitical 
interests in exchange for support, expressing solidarity with the 
oppressed working class under the CCP regime, supporting the Uyghurs, 
and advocating for the liberation of Hong Kong are crucial.

Comrade Kay

https://ucl-saguenay.blogspot.com/2024/01/biotechnologie-du-lait-de-vache-sans.html
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