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(en) Italy, UCADI #182: Assault on Africa (ca, de, it, pt, tr)[machine translation]

Date Thu, 21 Mar 2024 08:15:03 +0200


Between blasts of trumpets and rolls of drums and pickets of honour, the Prime Minister retraces the paths of the Duce and turns her attention to Africa. You say you did it with a new spirit, that of the Catholic partisan Enrico Mattei, who however distinguished himself for a strenuous fight against the 7 sisters, to break their oil monopoly, and of this choice he became a victim. The Prime Minister says she is turning to Africa with a new look and equal intentions, however she has summoned 23 African nations to the solemn hall of the Senate of the Republic to present them with vague intervention plans, without having discussed them in advance with them, as she did kindly note the President of the African Union Azali Assoumani, Representatives of numerous countries of the Arabian Gulf, the World Bank and other international bodies also participated in the event, as well as Ursula von der Leyen, Roberta Mezzola and Luis Michel, desperate for votes in the imminence of the elections for the renewal of the Parliament of the European Union.
Shifting attention to the substantial level, we note that the intention of the prime minister, supported by her partner Eni, was to deal mainly with finding gas and setting up crops for the production of biofuel, taking away land useful for subsistence agriculture , which is one of the primary needs of African populations in their fight against hunger.
Beyond the vagueness of the programs, the Mattei plan appears poor in resources, because it has three billion euros subtracted from the allocations for the fight against climate change, and two and a half billion subtracted from international cooperation, spread over four years. The only qualifying fact, for the Prime Minister, is the creation of a control room at the Prime Minister's Office, under her direct control which will ensure financial and political control of the initiatives to her trusted entourage made up of 19 people.
The dirigiste nature of this operation should not be surprising. The "Mattei Plan" does not contemplate ex novo projects, but initiatives already underway: in fact it incorporates the agreements with Algeria to guarantee the supply of natural gas to Italy and Europe after the suspension of energy supplies from Russia, already defined by Draghi in April 2022; some of the cooperation and development projects to be implemented in Africa with the support of Eni, already foreseen in the company's industrial plans, before the definition of the "Mattei Plan", such as the production of biofuels in Kenya; other plans envisaged within the Migration Fund, the African Development Fund and bilateral agreements with individual states on the continent.

A fluff plan

Yet the problem of investments in Africa is serious and constitutes a necessary commitment, because it serves to counteract the constant growth of investments and political and military presence, both Chinese and Russian, on the continent. In fact, these two countries have been investing in Africa for some time, massively and with partly different operational characteristics.

The Chinese stand out for a policy of easy credit to African countries and for investments in infrastructure in exchange for a period of management entrusted to them to recover the cost of the intervention. Thanks to these initiatives, railways, roads, ports and airports have been built, which constitute stable, immovable structures that the recipient States acquire now and for the future. The construction is carried out mainly by Chinese labor and in any case represents a structural enrichment of these countries as it provides infrastructures that facilitate and facilitate the overall development of the territory, but effectively enfeoffing it to Chinese politics. China also has great interest in oil and mineral extraction and in rare earth extraction. From these relationships, China obtains overall penetration for its low-tech goods in local markets, effectively covering the needs of small trade.

Russia, on the other hand, stands out for an intervention that is mainly based on the creation of good relations thanks to the supply of foodstuffs, mainly wheat and cereals, supplied free of charge or at favorable prices, which is accompanied by an interest in mining and extractive activities. This presence is supported through the contracting of the supply of the necessary armaments to the various governments and by the support, when necessary, through mercenary troops organized in companies such as Wagner, which is only the most famous and well-known of a galaxy of mercenary organizations serving of the Kremlin.
It is no coincidence that none of the Sahel countries governed by military and dictatorial regimes were present in Rome, making the difficulties in approaching the problem clear.
It should be added that with the strengthening of the BRICS and even more so with their enlargement, the actors interested in intervening in Africa will increase, where India has long been present to a large extent and with an increasingly important role, with its own products and investments, Turkey which seems to have specialized in the construction of airports, the Arab countries, oil extractors, who are looking for good opportunities for their investments and who are acquiring an ever-increasing capacity for economic and financial intervention, as evidenced by their entry into the BRICS .
The fact is that Italy comes last in Africa and, even if it has managed to make us forget, at least in part, the tragic consequences of its colonial adventures, because the generation of those who suffered the damage is now dead and because more recent tragedies have dotted the history of Africa, obscuring its memory, however it suffers from the bad reputation of others, and above all of the post-colonial French presence, which caused enormous damage and sowed hatred and mistrust, which today appear difficult to overcome, and which allow both to China and Russia to be seen as privileged interlocutors in a constructive and useful relationship for the development of the economy of these countries; also because Russians and Chinese do not distinguish between the political regimes that govern these states, but maintain relations based on mutual interest. This does not mean that despite all these defects, the Italian action to penetrate the African economy will be strongly opposed both by France and England, as well as by the United States, which despite being effectively absent from the continent and not having its own policy for Africa, view the entry of any new player into the field with suspicion.
Having noted the absence of investment capital which Italy does not have, the program for Africa, although strategically valid, should have been supported by prior consultation with the European Union, highlighting the common interests in the area rather than by offering some European politicians in search of votes a catwalk on which to perform, which would certainly have allowed for greater availability of investment capital.
Furthermore, a diplomatic weaving of bilateral relations with individual countries would have been necessary, aimed at involving them in the development and planning of interventions, thus truly inaugurating a new methodology of truly equal relations. But despite Meloni's much-vaunted competence and diplomatic ability, the country's structures and its diplomacy do not have the ability to work in this direction, lacking a strategic vision of long-term international relations.
The one suggested is a strategic vision while instead the Italian government seems to be looking at immediate results and interprets the initiative as a tool to ensure that immigration finds a limit by obtaining the adoption of policies from cooperating countries in exchange for investments restrictive and control of the migratory flow. The evident failure of this intent is demonstrated by the fact that those who were absent from the Roman event were precisely the countries that hold control of the caravan routes for the transit of migrants from Central Africa to Europe, not to mention the absence of a country like Nigeria which, with its explosive demographic development, constitutes the reservoir from which migratory flows emerge and feed.

The Editorial Staff

https://www.ucadi.org/2024/02/17/assalto-allafrica/
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